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Overview
AI Impacts researches the trajectory and consequences of advanced artificial intelligence. Its surveys of machine learning researchers are widely cited in timeline debates. The project publishes structured analyses of key strategic questions.
News
How should we analyse survey forecasts of AI timelines?
Tom Adamczewski, 2024 The Expert Survey on Progress in AI (ESPAI) is a large survey of AI researchers about the future of AI, conducted in 2016, 2022, and 2023. One main focus of the survey is the timing of progress in AI.1 The timing-related results of t
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Report
The purpose of philosophical AI will be: To orient ourselves in thinking
Max Noichl 1 This was a prize-winning entry into the Essay Competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy. Summary In this essay I will suggest a lower bound for the impact that artificial intelligence systems can have on the automation of philoso
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Machines and Moral Judgment
By Jacob Sparks This was a prize-winning entry into the Essay Competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy. 1 Good AGI The explicit goal of most major AI labs is to create artificial general intelligence (AGI): machines that can assist us across
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Towards the Operationalization of Philosophy & Wisdom
By Thane Ruthenis This was a prize-winning entry into the Essay Competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy. Summary Philosophy and wisdom, and the processes underlying them, currently lack a proper operationalization: a set of robust formal or
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Some Preliminary Notes on the Promise of a Wisdom Explosion
By Chris Leong This was a prize-winning entry into the Essay Competition on the Automation of Wisdom and Philosophy. Leading AI labs are aiming to trigger an intelligence explosion, but perhaps this is a grave mistake? Maybe they should be aiming to trigg
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