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Overview

Julian Talbot, one of the founders of Citadel Group Ltd (CGL), is an industry leader in strategy and risk management. He has shared his expertise with more than.

News

Blog 2 months ago
Making Sense of the ISO 31000 Risk Management Process
ISO 31000 provides one of the most widely recognised frameworks for managing risk. Its risk management process is conceptually sound, deliberately generic and applicable to almost any organisation, industry or type of risk. But there is a problem. For peo
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Blog 2 months ago
As Low as Reasonably Practicable (ALARP)
ALARP is one of the fundamental principles of risk management. It is often also referred to as SFARP or SFAIRP (so far as is reasonably practicable). What the terms mean ALARP: "As Low As Reasonably Practicable". Focuses on reducing risk to the lowest lev
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Blog 2 months ago
Will It Stand Up in Court? The Expert-Witness Architecture Behind SEAM
Turning analysis into court-ready material - Part 3 of 3 If you haven't read the previous articles, please start with the first in the series or go to the second article if you have read the first. They explain how the Structured Evidence Analysis Matrix
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Blog 3 months ago
Inside the Method: From Intelligence Tradecraft to the Courtroom
How the Structured Evidence Analysis Matrix works - Part 2 of 3 If you haven't read the previous article, please read this one first. It introduces the case study this series is built around: a contested court matter with cross-allegations, a documentary
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Blog 3 months ago
When Both Stories Fit the Facts
A case study in structured evidence analysis - Part 1 of 3 This is the first article in a three-part series introducing the Structured Evidence Analysis Matrix (SEAM), a method I developed for testing competing accounts against the documentary record in c
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Blog 7 months ago
How Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) Helps Make Sense of Complex Accidents
When an accident is serious, tragic, and technically complex, the hardest task is often not collecting information, but making sense of competing explanations. Different witnesses see different things. Technical systems interact in ways that are not obvio
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Blog 8 months ago
Using Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) in Litigation, Inquiries, and Contested Policy Debates
For more insights into ACH & related topics, click here. In litigation, coronial inquiries, and high-stakes policy disputes, the hardest problem is rarely a lack of information. It is the opposite: too many facts, too many narratives, and too many incenti
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Blog 8 months ago
Conducting an Independent Risk Assessment in Support of a Lobby, Coronial Inquiry, or Litigation
When people hear the phrase risk assessment, they often imagine a spreadsheet, a heat map, or a list of obvious hazards ranked from red to green. In routine operational settings, that may be sufficient. In the context of a lobby effort, a coronial inquiry
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Blog 1 year ago
Risk Communication - Using Natural Frequencies
Following on from my previous post, Risk Communication Issues, if we want to understand why otherwise knowledgeable health professionals...
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Blog 2 years ago
COVID-19 Vaccination and Alzheimer's
On July 21, 2021, President Joe Biden said during a CNN town hall, " You're not going to get COVID if you have these vaccinations . " I...
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