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Overview
Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, a Substack publication with hundreds of thousands of subscribers.
News
A tour of the 48 key House races
Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. of New Jersey's 7th Congressional District returns to the Capitol after a nearly four-month absence from Congress, which he attributed to treatment for depression. His district represents one of Democrats' best pickup opportunities. A
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FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Our latest midterm forecastUpdated August 22, 2026Today, we're out with a tour of the 48 key House races. Check it out to learn where in the country Democrats stand to gain the most ground, and where they might have more trouble. Spoiler: mid-decade redis
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How popular is Donald Trump?
The latest on Trump's approval ratingUpdated August 21, 2026The Silver Bulletin 2026 midterm election forecast launched today! Check out the new landing page to see our predictions for every Senate, House and gubernatorial race this cycle.The forecast doe
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Who's ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
The latest on the generic ballotUpdated August 21, 2026The Silver Bulletin 2026 midterm election forecast launched today! Check out the new landing page to see our predictions for every Senate, House and gubernatorial race this cycle.We also post a slight
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How popular is the Iran War?
The latest on the Iran War's popularityUpdated August 21, 2026The Silver Bulletin 2026 midterm election forecast launched today! Check out the new landing page to see our predictions for every Senate, House and gubernatorial race this cycle.The Iran War's
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