Speculators Anonymous
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Overview
My name’s Adem Tumerkan (Twitter: @RadicalAdem) – and I’m the sole analyst and editor here at Speculators Anonymous. . .
News
They Say Demographics Are Destiny; If So, Things Look Pretty Bleak
There's an old saying in economics: "Demographics are destiny." Why? Because a young and dynamic population is what carries everything - from spending and productivity to workforce and economic growth. And more importantly, the young working population is
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Trade Wars Redux? China's Manufacturing Glut and Its Global Implications
China's economy continues to struggle 15 months after "reopening" from their COVID lockdowns (December 2022). Now, back then, many media pundits expected a booming Chinese recovery as pent-up savers splurged. Inflation was set to re-surge amid all this Ch
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China's private firms fed up with crippling payment delays, 'red-tape excuses'
As Beijing tries to invigorate the economy, on-the-ground reactions suggest more government spending is needed to stabilise demand and restore shattered confidence in hard-hit industries.
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Are Banks Beginning to Choke on Their Commercial Real Estate Exposure?
Last year - around April - I wrote to you about the mounting fragility in the commercial real estate sector. And specifically how exposed the smaller-medium banks were. High vacancy rates, declining rent prices, a glut of supply, and higher interest rates
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There's 'no chance' China's property market rebounds to what it was, researcher says
China's real estate sector was once 25% to 30% of the country's GDP. And there's no other sector large enough to fill in that gap.
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