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Research and analytics on prediction markets: model probability vs. live price, cited to source, updated around the clock.

News

News natesilver.net 23 days ago
FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
See FLIPR's latest odds for every 2026 Senate, House, and governor race, updated daily with polling averages, forecasts, and analysis from Nate Silver.
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News White House Press Pool 24 days ago
DAILY GUIDANCE AND PRESS SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 26, 2026
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 09/25/26 DAILY GUIDANCE AND PRESS SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 26, 2026 In-Town Pool Secondary TV Corr & Crew: Lindell TV Photos: AP, AFP, NYT, Reuters, Getty Print: Axios Se
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News CoinRithm 24 days ago
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026? - Result: Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26,…
Resolved: Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026?. Final odds, probability history and resolution details for Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026? on Kalshi. Kalshi ticker: KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26SEP26.
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News PBS News 24 days ago
White House TV pool is back in operation after a dayslong ban of news outlets from grounds
The U.S. network video pool for the White House was back in operation Friday, for the first time since President Donald Trump banned three news outlets in a high-profile showdown over media access.
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News natesilver.net 24 days ago
How popular is Donald Trump?
See the latest data on President Donald Trump's job approval rating and popularity, updated daily with polling averages, graphs, and commentary from Nate Silver.
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News natesilver.net 24 days ago
Who's ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
See the latest data on the 2026 generic congressional ballot, updated daily with polling averages, graphs, and commentary from Nate Silver.
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News Finvaulta 25 days ago
Macro Week Ahead: Week of September 28, 2026 J.P. Morgan
J.P. Morgan's Macro Week Ahead (Sep 28, 2026): Key previews for US NFP, ISM Mfg, GDP revisions, and MU/NKE earnings. Read the full research on Finvaulta.
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News natesilver.net 25 days ago
The blue wave is mostly in red states. That's a little weird.
Still Counting EP3. Plus some quick thoughts on that NYT poll in Maine.
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News Los Angeles Times 25 days ago
CNN, MS NOW and Politico return to White House after judge lifts Trump's press ban
Federal court judge calls the ban unconstitutional and rejects the White House argument that the action was done in the name of national security.
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News axios.com 26 days ago
5 White House reinstates access for banned reporters axios.com
White House reinstates access for banned reporters
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