Rodneybrooks

I have come to understand four very different time scales for development of technologies and their deployments. And I think people often jump between them and end up making outrageously wrong, and sometimes damaging, predictions of when in the future a t

Quick Summary: I am going to continue to do my yearly update on three sets of technologies every January 1st. I am going to decouple them from my prediction tables from the first post on January 1st, 2018, as the dates for predicted events are getting spa

Nothing is ever as good as it first seems and nothing is ever as bad as it first seems. - A best memory paraphrase of advice given to me by Vice Admiral Joe Dyer, former chief test pilot of the US Navy and former Commander of NAVAIR. You can follow me on

In early September a poem about AI started circulating on social media, with a publication date of 1961. At first it just seemed too cute to me and I thought it might be fake, or written by an LLM, passed off as written by a person back in 1961. But with

In this post I explain why today's humanoid robots will not learn how to be dexterous despite the hundreds of millions, or perhaps many billions of dollars, being donated by VCs and major tech companies to pay for their training. At the end of the post, a

The term "Embodied AI" is having its moment in the sun right now. For me, that is what I have spent my career working on, and I have repeatedly published articles using the term "embodied intelligence". I recently stumbled across a piece that I wrote in M

This time around I decided on a guest column. The guest is a 37 years ago younger me, and this post is one that I wrote for Manufacturing Engineering in March of 1988. It was for the last page of the trade magazine, in a regular feature titled "THE LAST W

Anyone who reads just about anything these days will know there are two big things in AI at the moment. They are Generative AI and Humanoid Robots. There is a lot of hype about these two new (to most people) versions of AI and robots, and it has shifted a

Of course, I am filled with fear and anger at the political situation in the US, but we can't forget about research and how it interplays with the innovation economy of the United States and other countries. The short answer is that it takes longer than a

On March 26th I skeeted out five technology predictions, talking about developments over the next ten years through January 1st, 2036. I'll incorporate these new predictions into my scorecard posts (every Jan 1st) and see how accurate they have been over