Senior long-term oil analyst

About the Role

As a Senior Long-Term Oil Analyst, you will own Kpler’s strategic multi-decade outlook for crude oil, refined products, and alternative liquid fuels within the evolving global energy system. Bridging macro-economic forecasting and physical trade flows, you will anchor long-term supply, demand, and transition scenarios directly into Kpler’s proprietary cargo-level intelligence. In this high-visibility research role, your insights and published analysis will guide executive decision-makers, commercial traders, and investors navigating structural market transformations, capital allocation, and decarbonization pathways.

Key Responsibilities

• Lead long-term market research and scenario modeling: Spearhead Kpler's multi-decade (5 to 25+ year) research coverage and fundamental supply, demand, and trade scenarios for crude oil, refined products, NGLs, and low-carbon fuels.
• Analyze structural market drivers and transition pathways: Deliver in-depth research on upstream capital investment, OPEC+ and non-OPEC capacity shifts, refinery configuration trends, transport electrification, and evolving environmental policies.
• Anchor macro projections in granular trade flows: Leverage Kpler’s proprietary cargo-level tracking to translate multi-decade macro perspectives into actionable implications for regional balances, trade routes, refining margins, and midstream infrastructure.
• Author authoritative research publications: Produce regular, high-impact outlook publications, strategic research notes, and thematic market commentary under Kpler’s Insights banner, clearly framing key assumptions and structural uncertainties.
• Synthesize cross-commodity dynamics: Collaborate with Kpler’s Gas, LNG, and Power research analysts to ensure cohesive, system-wide market assumptions, while benchmarking models against international agencies such as the IEA, EIA, and OPEC.
• Serve as a trusted market authority: Represent Kpler’s research in executive client briefings, commercial advisory sessions, industry webinars, and specialist media engagements.

Experience & Background

Essential:

• 5+ years of prior experience in energy market analysis, energy modelling or strategy, with a focus on oil and liquids markets
• Proven experience building and maintaining supply and demand or scenario models, including a good understanding of the drivers of long-term outlooks
• Strong understanding of the oil and refined products value chain and of energy transition dynamics
• Experience in producing independent market analysis and insights
• Skilled at conducting complex analyses across multiple datasets using advanced data analytics tools
• Excellent verbal and written communication skills

Desirable:

• Knowledge of gas, LNG, power or low-carbon fuels and how they interact with liquids markets
• Previous experience using Kpler data or other cargo tracking tools
• Experience with SQL, Python, R, or other data science tools