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Overview
Emerging Trajectories provides clarity in a complex world. Created automated, personalized intelligence feeds for geopolitics, commodities, risk and more.
News
Option Prices Imply Very Little Will Happen This Coming Month
Option prices imply the next 30 days will be among the quietest of the year: VIX near a 52-week low, dispersion dropping, tail risks quiet-and why the calm may not last.
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How Japan and the US Supported the Yen Last Week
The mechanics of the US-Japan yen intervention: FEFSA, the ESF, FIMA and swap lines - and what to watch as Tokyo buys time.
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The Tradeoffs Facing Japan's Economy
Interest rates versus debt, consumer relief versus borrowing, and a $2.3 trillion bet on the future: the painful tradeoffs facing Japan's economy.
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Situational Awareness and the Impending Market Volatility
Situational Awareness is a canary, not a divergence: the AI stock market is over-leveraged and over-concentrated. Call it the KOSPIfication of the NASDAQ.
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Commodification of Intelligence: Good, Bad, and Ugly Circular AI Deals
Circular AI deals aren't just bubble behavior: they mirror how commodity industries finance capital-intensive infrastructure. When circular deals are healthy - and when they hide risk.
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