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News
What Hidden Motives Imply
My book with the excellent co-author, Kevin Simler, The Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life, was published almost nine years ago, and has sold 60K copies so far.
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Claude can miss the motives of politicians
Frontier AI agents catalog facts accurately but fail to ask 'why now?' when forecasting political and institutional actions. Three case studies from the BTF-2 benchmark show how missing an actor's structural incentive, like a host-country deadline, an ins
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Like Putin, Trump is a megalomaniac. In Europe, we can shield ourselves, not look for rational motives Robert Habeck
I had to deal with the energy shock in Germany after Putin invaded Ukraine. The solution now is the same: buy ourselves out of the fossil fuels trap, says Robert Habeck, former vice-Chancellor of Germany
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Y Combinator
Connect Ventures
Episode 1 Ventures